Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2.095565 2.400262 2.735793 3.133023 3.590918 4.102728 4.718953
2025-06-22 1.580090 1.976216 2.453798 3.073470 3.858515 4.822949 6.102327
2025-06-29 1.308632 1.736858 2.285819 3.044087 4.069090 5.413319 7.321131
2025-07-06 1.109218 1.544485 2.130881 2.983145 4.197936 5.878867 8.401489
2025-07-13 1.034128 1.502230 2.161204 3.163303 4.660920 6.835340 10.266913
2025-07-20 0.927501 1.398025 2.086338 3.175442 4.872352 7.443097 11.685361
2025-07-27 0.862711 1.345336 2.076797 3.277495 5.222085 8.287033 13.560544
2025-08-03 0.784456 1.261500 2.008066 3.275176 5.401000 8.875112 15.086212
2025-08-10 0.713142 1.179893 1.932368 3.249749 5.533730 9.394678 16.549919
2025-08-17 0.646036 1.097469 1.845634 3.193926 5.604431 9.810518 17.873392
2025-08-24 0.607280 1.058462 1.826593 3.250528 5.873972 10.596234 19.954844
2025-08-31 0.571810 1.021208 1.806090 3.300741 6.134631 11.389767 22.142328
2025-09-07 0.527008 0.967024 1.757682 3.309226 6.346975 12.171367 24.524746
2025-09-14 0.475946 0.896774 1.674314 3.245802 6.421480 12.714447 26.545641
2025-09-21 0.435537 0.841680 1.612358 3.214713 6.552820 13.381426 28.916271
2025-09-28 0.396106 0.783939 1.538600 3.150197 6.605742 13.891319 31.019042
2025-10-05 0.388291 0.787987 1.586592 3.340926 7.219104 15.662129 36.217299
2025-10-12 0.363058 0.753604 1.552774 3.353779 7.446759 16.620675 39.678311
2025-10-19 0.349015 0.740990 1.562475 3.461833 7.900034 18.143956 44.733720
2025-10-26 0.326556 0.707898 1.524932 3.459377 8.097728 19.099868 48.528855
2025-11-02 0.304231 0.672759 1.479183 3.432454 8.233495 19.924749 52.117450
2025-11-09 0.281566 0.634539 1.422612 3.373348 8.283182 20.544256 55.260277
2025-11-16 0.269340 0.618946 1.415860 3.433278 8.637171 21.976714 60.857997